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Safest & Most Dangerous Metro Areas for Trick or Treating

Saftest & Most Dangerous Metro Areas for Trick or Treating

Want a Treat instead of a Trick on Halloween this year? The team at YourLocalSecurity.com (YLS) did some research to determine which US metro areas are the safest to take your costume-cloaked kiddos around the neighborhood with their pumpkin pails in 2018.

The team analyzed four data points—percent of trick-or-treaters, pedestrian car deaths, violent crime rates, and the ratio of sex offenders—to determine the most and least safe cities for your trick-or-treating clan. So before heading out with the fam at dusk this Halloween, check out the report below to see how your state’s metro areas faired.

10 Safest Metro Areas

  1. Lincoln, NE
  2. Mankato-North Mankato, MN
  3. Provo-Orem, UT
  4. Logan, UT
  5. Idaho Falls, ID
  6. Ogden-Clearfield, UT
  7. Kennewick-Richland, WA
  8. Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
  9. Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
  10. Grand Island, NE

10 Most Dangerous Metro Areas

  1. The Villages, FL
  2. Punta Gorda, FL
  3. Homosassa Springs, FL
  4. St. Louis, MO-IL
  5. Sebring, FL
  6. Santa Fe, NM
  7. Farmington, NM
  8. Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
  9. Pine Bluff, AR
  10. Gainesville, FL

Data Highlights

    • Nebraska and Utah were among the safest states for trick-or-treating, with each state having 3 metro areas in the Top 10.
    • Provo-Orem, UT has the highest percentage of kids at 19.2%.
    • Nebraska has the lowest rate of pedestrian deaths at 0.63 per 100,000 residents.
    • Three of the four Nebraska metro areas fall in the top 10, and Lincoln, NE had the lowest rate of sex offenders with 1 sex offender for every 34,009 residents.
    • New York-Newark-Jersey City has the lowest violent crime per capita was with 0.01 violent crimes per 100,000 people. It ranked 100 overall.
    • Florida has 6 metro areas in the bottom 10, including all 3 at the very bottom. In fact, The Villages, FL has the lowest percentage of kids at 4% and Homosassa Springs, FL had the highest rate of sex offenders with 1 sex offender for every 33 residents.
    • St. Louis, MO-IL has the highest violent crime rate at 19.13 per 100,000 residents.
    • New Mexico has the highest rate of pedestrian deaths at 3.51 per 100,000 residents.

Each State’s Safest Metro Area

State Name State’s Safest Metro Area for
Trick-or-Treating
Metro Area’s Ranking
(out of 383)
Alaska Anchorage 115
Alabama Daphne-Fairhope-Foley 328
Arkansas Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway 81
Arizona Tucson 263
California Visalia-Porterville 71
Colorado Greeley 46
Connecticut Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk 85
Delaware Dover 340
Florida Port St. Lucie 233
Georgia Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell 193
Hawaii Urban Honolulu 243
Iowa Des Moines-West Des Moines 13
Idaho Idaho Falls 5
Illinois Peoria 56
Indiana Fort Wayne 36
Kansas Wichita 51
Kentucky Elizabethtown-Fort Knox 142
Louisiana Lafayette 299
Massachusetts Springfield 97
Maryland California-Lexington Park 117
Maine Lewiston-Auburn 103
Michigan Grand Rapids-Wyoming 94
Minnesota Mankato-North Mankato 2
Missouri Springfield 130
Mississippi Hattiesburg 181
Montana Billings 55
North Carolina Raleigh 157
North Dakota Bismarck 47
Nebraska Lincoln 1
New Hampshire Manchester-Nashua 90
New Jersey Vineland-Bridgeton 184
New Mexico Las Cruces 349
Nevada Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise 308
New York Syracuse 144
Ohio Columbus 40
Oklahoma Tulsa 191
Oregon Salem 91
Pennsylvania Lancaster 62
Rhode Island Providence-Warwick 96
South Carolina Hilton Head Island-Bluffton-Beaufort 302
South Dakota Sioux Falls 11
Tennessee Knoxville 131
Texas Laredo 67
Utah Provo-Orem 3
Virginia Roanoke 132
Vermont Burlington-South Burlington 44
Washington Kennewick-Richland 7
Wisconsin Appleton 21
West Virginia Charleston 170
Wyoming Casper 25

Methodology

The YLS team looked at all 383 US metro areas, analyzing four main points of data to determine trick or treat safety: percent of trick-or-treaters, pedestrian car deaths, violent crime rates, and the ratio of sex offenders. All data points were weighted equally. Definitions are as follows:

  • Percent of Trick-or-Treaters: The percentage of the population between ages 5 and 14, according to the 2016 American Community Survey 1 Year Estimates. Given that there may be safety in numbers when trick-or-treating, a higher percentage of children in a metro area contributed to a better score.
  • Pedestrian Car Deaths: The number of pedestrian fatalities per 100,000 people by state, according to the NHTSA 2016 data. An average of all states included in the metro area is used when the metro area crosses state lines. A higher rate contributed to a lower score.
  • Violent Crime: The number of violent crime occurrences per 100,000 people by metro area, according to the 2016 FBI crime report. When data was unavailable for a metro area, the crime rate for the principal city in the area was used. A higher rate contributed to a lower score.
  • Sex Offenders: The number ratio of registered sex offenders to non-sex offenders, according to state and local agencies. The principal city in each metro area was used. A higher ratio of sex offenders contributed to a lower score.

This article was written and can be found on yourlocalsecurity.com.

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